Quarterly Strategy Briefing: Global Rates andFX

30 March 2026
Macro Strategy Team, Global Research
3 min read

Our quarterly strategy briefing provides updated base-case, bull-case, and risk-case scenarios across developed and emerging market rate curves and major FX pairs.

Key Takeaways

  • Policy divergence remains the central driver of cross-market dispersion.
  • Carry opportunities are improving but require tighter risk controls.
  • Cross-currency basis dynamics can materially affect hedging outcomes.
  • Scenario-based rebalancing can reduce timing risk during regime shifts.

1. Coverage focus

The briefing examines major central bank trajectories, inflation surprises, and growth sensitivity across key regions.

FX allocation guidance includes tactical hedging ranges and liquidity-aware implementation notes.

2. Access and distribution

Institutional subscribers receive summary notes, chart packs, and downloadable scenario tables.

A live Q&A session will be held following publication to discuss allocation implications.